---
Fantasy Premier League has introduced an official Price Change Predictor for 2026/27.
The tool tracks transfer activity and estimates which players are moving towards a rise or fall. It gives managers an official source of price-change guidance, but it does not guarantee that a change will happen.
When do FPL prices start changing?
Prices are locked until the Gameweek 1 deadline on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 BST.
After that deadline, player prices can rise or fall. The official changes take place at 00:00 UK time.
How often does the predictor update?
The predictor page is expected to update every 15 minutes.
That allows managers to see whether heavy buying or selling is moving a player closer to a change during the day.
What does the percentage mean?
The tool shows progress towards a potential rise or fall as a percentage.
A value above 100 per cent suggests that the player is expected to pass the estimated threshold for the next update. It is still not a guarantee.
Transfer activity can change quickly. A player shown at 105 per cent shortly before midnight could drop below the expected threshold if enough managers sell him in the final update period.
What labels will appear?
The official interface uses clear descriptions such as:
- Very Likely to Rise
- Likely to Rise
- Likely to Drop
- Very Likely to Drop
Colour indicators help managers scan the table quickly.
Where can managers see the data?
The information will appear in several places:
- The dedicated Price Change Predictor page
- Individual player profiles
- Squad selection views
- Transfer views
- Filters for your team, watchlist or all players
How should managers use it?
The correct use is to support a transfer decision that already makes sense.
For example, an early move may be reasonable when:
- The player is fit
- His next fixture is confirmed
- His role is secure
- No midweek match remains
- You would buy him even without the expected rise
Avoid making a transfer only because the percentage is high.
Why early transfers remain risky
A saved £0.1m can help team value, but an injury or unexpected benching can cost points and force another transfer.
Early transfers are especially risky when:
- European fixtures are still to be played
- Press conferences have not happened
- The player has a fitness concern
- The selling player still has a match
- Your plan depends on an uncertain transfer rumour
Points matter more than team value.
How OneFPL complements the official predictor
The official tool answers one question: is a player's price moving towards a change?
OneFPL helps answer the next questions:
- Is the transfer actually good for the next several Gameweeks?
- Does the move improve expected points?
- What future transfer does it block?
- Can the same money be used better elsewhere?
- Is the player being bought because of a one-week score?
Combine the official predictor with the OneFPL Price Changes tool, Transfer Trends, Projections and the Transfer Planner.
FPL verdict
The official Price Change Predictor makes the market easier to follow, but it does not remove uncertainty.
Use it to understand urgency. Do not let it make the decision for you.
Related on OneFPL
OneFPL analysis. OneFPL is an independent Fantasy Premier League companion and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.
Was this useful?