The official FPL game now includes a Price Change Predictor.
After the Gameweek 1 deadline, it will show each player's progress towards a price rise or fall and update every 15 minutes.
That is a major improvement. It does not remove the need for context.
What the official predictor shows
The official tool is designed to show:
- Current progress towards a price rise or fall
- A percentage indicator
- Labels such as likely to rise or likely to drop
- Filters for your team, watchlist or all players
- Updates every 15 minutes
- Expected daily changes at 00:00 UK time
Prices are locked until the Gameweek 1 deadline on 21 August at 18:30 BST.
A player above 100 percent is expected to cross the threshold, but the change is not guaranteed. Late transfers can push the percentage back below the threshold.
What OneFPL adds
The official predictor answers:
Is this player moving towards a price change?
OneFPL helps answer:
Should I make the transfer?
| Question | Official FPL Predictor | OneFPL |
|---|---|---|
| Likelihood of price change | Yes | Yes |
| Current transfer direction | Predictor view | Transfer trends and market context |
| Upcoming fixtures | Separate area | Integrated workflow |
| Injury status | Separate area | Linked with team news |
| Compare replacements | Manual | Player Lab comparison |
| Plan future transfers | No multi-GW scenario workflow | Multi-Gameweek Planner |
| Fixture swing | Separate research | Dedicated fixture-swing view |
| Full decision impact | Limited | Price, fixtures, role and plan together |
Use OneFPL Price Changes and OneFPL Fixture Swing.
A price rise is not always a reason to buy
Before buying a likely riser, ask:
- Is he expected to start?
- Does he improve my team?
- Are his next fixtures good?
- Will I keep him for several Gameweeks?
- Is there a press conference or midweek match before the deadline?
- Can I absorb the rise without changing the plan?
A transfer that saves £0.1m but creates a future points hit is not automatically successful.
A price fall is not always a reason to sell
A player can be falling because managers are reacting to one blank, a difficult fixture, a short-term flag or a popular alternative.
Keep the player when expected points remain strong and selling damages a longer-term plan.
OneFPL workflow
Step 1: Check the official percentage
Understand the immediate price risk.
Step 2: Open OneFPL Market
Review net transfers through OneFPL Prices.
Step 3: Check injuries
Use OneFPL Injury News.
Step 4: Compare the replacement
Use OneFPL Compare.
Step 5: Review fixtures
Use OneFPL Fixtures and Fixture Swing.
Step 6: Test the transfer
Add the move to the OneFPL Planner.
Example decision table
| Situation | Best response |
|---|---|
| Likely to rise, secure starter, strong fixtures | Consider buying early |
| Likely to rise, midweek match pending | Wait unless the rise blocks the move |
| Likely to fall, long-term injury | Sell |
| Likely to fall, difficult one-week fixture | Usually hold |
| Replacement rising but rotation-prone | Avoid chasing price |
| Transfer creates a future hit | Reconsider |
OneFPL verdict
Use the official percentage to understand urgency. Use OneFPL to decide whether the transfer improves your squad.
FAQ
Does 100 percent guarantee a price rise?
No. Transfer activity can change before the daily update.
When do prices change?
The official tool says changes are expected at 00:00 UK time.
Are prices changing before Gameweek 1?
No. Prices remain locked until the opening deadline.
Why use OneFPL if the official predictor exists?
OneFPL combines price risk with fixtures, injuries, comparison and future planning.
OneFPL is an independent Fantasy Premier League companion and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.
OneFPL analysis. OneFPL is an independent Fantasy Premier League companion and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.
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